Hungary has voted: Orbán's last chance?

For the first time in 16 years, Viktor Orbán is at risk of losing power. What does this mean for the EU, for Ukraine – and for populism in Europe?

Vienna, April 12, 2026 – Today is election day in Hungary. After 16 years in power, Viktor Orbán faces the toughest election of his career. The counting is underway. The tension is palpable.

What is at stake

For Hungary: An opportunity for the rule of law, freedom of the press, an independent judiciary. Things that have been systematically dismantled over the last 16 years.

For the EU: A Hungary without Orbán would end the chronic blockades in the Council. Aid to Ukraine, sanctions against Russia, enlargement policy – all of this would become easier.

For populism in Europe: An Örban overthrow would be a signal. That illiberal democracy is not a one-way street. That voters can also back down.

But be careful

Orbán has reshaped the electoral system to his advantage. Gerrymandering, media control, intimidation of the opposition – these are not small advantages. Even if the opposition gets more votes, Orbán could win through the system.

And even if he loses: His system won't disappear overnight. The institutions are tailored to him. Untangling it will take years.

The Two Sides of Power

Orbán has never claimed to be a democrat – he has openly advocated for illiberal democracy. That was more honest than many of his critics want to admit. The question isn't whether Orbán is good or bad. The question is: What comes next?

YANUS will report the election results as soon as they are available.